Publications etc.

Articles and Book Chapters

“Excess deaths and Hurricane María”. Population and Environment. / PDF / Replication data

“A computational science approach to understanding human conflict”. Journal of Computational Science. / PDF

“Vegetation changes attributable to refugees in Africa coincide with agricultural deforestation”. Environmental Research Letters. / PDF / Replication data

“Local warming and violent armed conflict in Africa”. World Development. / PDF / Replication data

“The decline of war since 1950: New evidence”, in Lewis F Richardson - His Intellectual Legacy and Influence in the Social Sciences, ed. Nils Petter Gleditsch, Springer Pioneer Series. / PDF / Replication data

“On climate and conflict: Precipitation decline and communal conflict in Ethiopia and Kenya”. Journal of Peace Research 56(4): 514-528. / PDF / Appendix / Replication data

“Fundamental patterns and predictions of event size distributions in modern wars and terrorist campaigns”. PLOS One 13 (10): e0204639. / PDF / Replication data

“Terms and conditions still apply: A rejoinder to Hagopian et al.” Research and Politics 5(1). / PDF

“Half a million excess deaths in the Iraq war: Terms and conditions may apply”. Research and Politics 4(4). / PDF / Appendix / Replication data

“Food imports, international prices, and violence in Africa”. Oxford Economic Papers 68(3): 758-781. / PDF / Appendix / Replication data

“Economic shocks and civil conflict onset in Sub-Saharan Africa”, 1981-2010. Defence and Peace Economics 26(2): 153-177. / PDF / Replication data

Working papers

“On uprisings, ethnic affiliation, and commodity prices: An empirical analysis on civil resistance success rate”. / PDF

“Economic dependence and civil conflict”. / PDF

“Decline of war or end of positive check? Analysis of change in war size distribution between 1816-2007”. / PDF

“Toward a unified understanding of casualty distributions in human conflict”. / PDF.

Retired papers

“Food security and armed conflict: A cross-country analysis”. / PDF.

“Drought severity and communal conflict in Nigeria”. / PDF.

“Mostly Harmless? A subnational analysis of the aid-conflict nexus”. / PDF.