Working papers

  • Apocalypse now? Climate change and war in Africa. <paper>

Articles and chapters

  • Spagat, M. & van Weezel S. (forthcoming) The decline of war since 1950: New evidence, in Lewis F Richardson - His Intellectual Legacy and Influence in the Social Sciences, ed. Nils Petter Gleditsch, Springer Pioneer Series. <replication data>

  • van Weezel, S. (2019). On climate and conflict: Precipitation decline and communal conflict in Ethiopia and Kenya. Journal of Peace Research 56(4): 514-528. <paper> <appendix> <replication data>

  • Spagat, M., Johnson, N. & van Weezel, S. (2018). Fundamental patterns and predictions of event size distributions in modern wars and terrorist campaigns. PLOS One 13 (10): e0204639. <paper> <replication data>

  • Spagat, M. & van Weezel, S. (2018). Terms and conditions still apply: A rejoinder to Hagopian et al.. Research and Politics 5(1). <paper>

  • Spagat, M. & van Weezel, S. (2017). Half a million excess deaths in the Iraq war: Terms and conditions may apply. Research and Politics 4(4). <paper> <appendix> <replication data>

  • van Weezel, S. (2016). Food imports, international prices, and violence in Africa. Oxford Economic Papers 68(3): 758-781. <paper> <appendix> <replication data>

  • van Weezel, S. (2015). Economic shocks and civil conflict onset in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1981-2010. Defence and Peace Economics 26(2): 153-177. <paper> <replication data>

In limbo

  • Food security and armed conflict: A cross-country analysis. <paper>
  • Drought severity and communal conflict in Nigeria. <paper>
  • Mostly Harmless? A subnational analysis of the aid-conflict nexus. <paper>
    • Old version: A spatial analysis of the effect of foreign aid in conflict areas. <paper>